Will Biden’s Desperate Ceasefire Plan Succeed? | principle

Last Friday, US President Joe Biden presented a plan for a cease-fire in Gaza based on three phases: a prisoner exchange between Israel and Hamas, an eventual permanent ceasefire and the rebuilding of homes and public facilities.

Biden called for Israel and Hamas to immediately accept the agreement and move quickly toward a comprehensive solution to the conflict. He is now seeking an immediate, long-term ceasefire, and is staking his name and fame on achieving it.

So what should we do about it?

First, Biden described the plan as an Israeli concession to Hamas, but it could have been a US initiative to provide credit to Israel, or perhaps it was a proposal from Hamas that would have been wrapped in a US scarf months ago. Delicious for warmongers.

The plan is interesting because it addresses the main drivers of the conflict and its resolution: ending the fighting, releasing all prisoners, evicting Israel from Gaza, removing Hamas’ primary motivation for attacking Israel, and rebuilding the Gaza Strip.

Hamas immediately responded that it viewed the proposal favorably. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government responded with its usual mix of bluster and ambiguity — saying it would not stop its attacks or withdraw from Gaza until it achieved complete victory over Hamas, even if the prisoners were released.

However, Biden said; Hamas’s military strength has been reduced to the point where it cannot repeat the October 7 attack, indicating that Israel has achieved its goal and can now withdraw from Gaza.

But why have the genocidal brothers Biden and Netanyahu, who until recently scoffed at long-term ceasefire proposals, suddenly changed their minds?

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I have no doubt that this is their shared frustration. Their reputations are in the mud, their political positions are at stake. Desperation is the greatest engine of political creativity.

Biden fears losing the November election, while Netanyahu fears being jailed by an Israeli court on corruption charges, or by the International Criminal Court for overseeing genocide.

Biden will try to take credit for trying to make peace. But bridging the contradictions is an impossible task, so eight months of funding, arming, and diplomatic protection of Israeli genocide in Gaza cannot be reconciled with an attempt at peace—obviously, with all the fraud and all. pride On each occasion, Biden revealed his true nature, earning him the nickname “Genocide Joe.”

As for Netanyahu, he is in the grip of irreconcilable pressures, personally of his own making, whose goal is to keep him in power and out of the courts of justice. Biden’s proposal is at odds with the warmongering of far-right Israelis in his government. Like all politicians, especially practitioners of apartheid and genocide, he made contradictory promises to the various audiences he needed to stay in power. Biden’s proposal offered an easy way out of his predicament.

Regardless of what Biden and Netanyahu dance in front of the cameras, the plea to move forward with a plan to “end this war and start the next” — as the US president has put it — will soon run into serious obstacles on the way to achieving it. Prolonged silence. There is no doubt that ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will require many players to negotiate on multiple axes, including the forces of many countries – all driven by unpredictable objectives and conflicting needs.

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The tension between the following key players must be resolved:

  • US and Israeli governments. Biden and Netanyahu. Netanyahu and many far-right Jewish nationalists in his government. The Israeli government and Israeli citizens reject its ideology before October 7. The Israeli government and many Israeli citizens support the demands of the prisoners’ families to end the war and release them. Biden and a large part of his base in the Democratic Party are demanding that he retract his support for the Israeli genocide in Gaza or else not vote for him next November.
  • Biden and many other Democrats and Republicans who want to continue the Israeli genocide.
  • US leadership and most of the world’s people and governments support equal rights for Palestinians and Israelis. They oppose the US-sponsored genocide.
  • The Israeli government and Hamas were key targets in Biden’s proposal, which were almost, but not quite, achieved.
  • The US government and Hamas are now negotiating in secret, but are at odds on most issues related to Palestine, Israel and US hegemony in the region.

If the first of the plan’s three phases is implemented, difficult negotiations will have to resolve the most difficult issues, such as the shape of the Palestinian regime that will eventually take over in Gaza, the security guarantees provided by regional and global powers to Israelis and Palestinians, and the permanent settlement of the most contentious key issues: resolving the Palestinian refugee issue, the Zionist settlement Colonialism and peaceful coexistence as separate sovereigns in one land or two neighboring states.

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On the issue of Palestinian governance, Biden made an interesting point in his speech on Friday, when he said that “at this point, Hamas can no longer implement a new October 7,” meaning that Israel has achieved its main goal. Having weakened Hamas, it can now stop fighting and withdraw from Gaza.

Israel may or may not agree with this, but the US president may be laying the groundwork for engaging a “different Hamas” in the post-war era, as the Taliban and its predecessors did with the Viet Cong for decades after the war. They are “terrorists.” Indeed, when wars end, wonderful things happen.

Reflecting its national and militant commitment to exercise the right to self-determination in Palestine, Hamas or the organization should form part of a new governing body in Palestine along with other Palestinian factions that agree to live in peace with Israel. But this will only happen if Israel and its American backers agree openly and unequivocally — and this is the biggest “if” in this whole equation — to full independence and self-determination for the Palestinians and peaceful coexistence between Israelis and Palestinians with equal sovereignty. Historic Palestine.

It would be a truly bold step toward a lasting peace if a US president one day decided to go down that path, which is hard to find in the current presentation.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of Al Jazeera.

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