The story of the offensive exchange between Israel and Iran… these secrets

Iran has established a new reality in the region based on its boldness in responding to Israel. Calculations of human and material losses cannot measure the problem. Instead, it is based on the fact that Iran has sent drones and missiles across the borders of several countries and that some of them hit two targets identified by Tehran: an air base in the Negev from which F-35s were launched, and an Israeli intelligence center on Mount Herman that targeted the Iranian embassy in Damascus and provided information to those planes. . Apart from this, the display of Iranian drones in the region's airspace is aimed at creating media resonance to serve the Iranian end.

Why? What is the secret of this result?

The story began when Israel wanted to impose on Tehran an end to Tel Aviv's occupation and Syrian logistical support on the Iraqi, Yemeni and Lebanese fronts during the war on Gaza. Tel Aviv targeted the Iranian embassy in Damascus, which was attended by a Revolutionary Guard officer in charge of Lebanon and Syria files. Israel may have targeted him as he moved from Damascus airport to the city of Messe, but it was intended to morally harm Iran.

Tel Aviv did not expect an Iranian response as a result of the strike. Instead, the Israelis believed that Tehran would continue with “strategic patience” or be forced to submit to a cease-fire with Israel on the aforementioned fronts.

But the Iranians seriously studied this hierarchy and waged a psychological war against the Israelis, while negotiating with the Americans and through the Sultanate of Oman, they decided to respond within the framework of Iran's state calculations, not revolutionary. Iran.

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Tehran won its psychological war, and Israel lived through difficult days that, during the Iranian response, reached a complete shutdown of the Israeli state, shutting down its airports, economic activities, and aspects of life within it. for an hour.

Iran handed the country over to the Americans to a formula: strong response without harm. Tehran did not target civilians, Israeli companies, ports or airports, superstructures or infrastructure. Instead, it targeted a military airport responsible for the embassy strike and an intelligence center concerned with targeting an Iranian official, and nothing else.

Secretly, Iran used not the latest drones and missiles, but resorted to these ordinary types, in an air show operation, the time to be determined by the countries, and to monitor their path away from the Western capitals, to see the Americans, the British and the French, shot down most of them, and that air base and They intended to deliver the missiles they wanted, targeting only the intelligence base.

What is highlighted here is the importance of the Iranian willingness to respond without opening a war, but rather the very real possibility that Israel will be unable to defend itself without American intervention in particular. If Iran wanted to do harm and start a war, it could have deployed more effective drones and faster, more accurate and damaging missiles. or sent these marches from nearby places and deputed its allies to carry out effective work. But Tehran preferred to act arbitrarily, and in a calculated process that the Americans were well-read, within precise constraints set by Iran.

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Secretly, the Americans knew in advance through the Swiss and Omanis that the response would not be open and would not result in a war, indicating that Iran wanted to end negotiations after it became credible. party with its obligations.

The Arab countries handled the Iranian behavior wisely. In particular, the positions of the Gulf states were neutral, confirming that the Gulf capitals wanted to maintain the agreement with Iran as a good neighbor and to maintain economic, security and political cooperation. Read the dimensions of the United Arab Emirates' statement on the need to de-escalate tensions. The Saudis affirmed their non-interference and their interest in relations with Tehran.

What then?

He was able to address the Americans that Iran is a real regional power and that it is ready for all eventualities, but it does not want to escalate and limit the stability of the region, however, the problem is the Israeli aggression against Gaza. If Tel Aviv wants to continue its war in Rafah, it will not reach a conclusion because the Palestinian determination in the area is capable of repelling an Israeli invasion. The Americans, British, and French, who stood by Israel and thwarted Iran's drones and missiles, were not tolerated internationally by Israel's move in Rafah because a million Palestinian citizens could not be left to their fate. fire or displacement.

So, Israel now faces a harsh reality: the American decision to defend it will not allow it to crush Rafa. The same conclusion would call for a renewed acceptance of the reality of US-Iranian negotiations.

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Let's wait until the Israeli path becomes clear due to increasing Western pressure after the Iranian response.

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